2/28/07 8:30pm
Well folks, let's get right to the action, shall we? We have a MAJOR severe weather outbreak that has just begun to fire up! Severe T-storms are now in Kansas and Missouri! As I type this blog, there are tornadoes currently on the ground in Eastern KS with hail (radar estimates) of over 3" in diameter and DBZ's of over 75!!! Those are some INTENSE storms folks!!!
To see the latest Outlook from the SPC (latest one as of the posting of this blog):
http://spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
As you can see, the Slight risk area has been expanded Northward, and look how close the Moderate area is now. This outlook is for tomorrow. I am now forecasting severe storms for our region. I think they are now going to be likely at this point. I do not think the tornado threat is not all that great, but high winds and large hail are definately possible at this stage in the game.
This system is probably going to produce a historic severe weather event for the Nation as a whole. In additon, there are winter storm watches and warnings in the Upper Midwest thru the Great Lakes region as well! We're not even into Spring yet folks! WOW... what an active severe weather season this will be, and one that is just getting started.
As far as the timing goes tomorrow, I think we'll see a shot at isolated severe storms in the morning due to the passage of the warm front. Otherwise, the main show will probably be here in the afternoon and evening. I think we could see some supercell T-storms out ahead of the main line of storms, and those are the ones that need to be watched for a tornado or two that could develop. Otherwise, I expect a squall line or two of storms to develop along and ahead of the cold front. This will be where we'll see our potential wind and hail from.
Stay tuned to the blog, weather forum, and Cincy Forecast website for the latest!
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