Mild Air Followed by a Cooling Trend by Week's End

3/11/07 8pm Edited: 3/12/07 12:40pm Edited again at 8:25pm

Good evening folks!

It's been a few days since I have updated my blog, but honestly there hasn't been much to talk about. The models pretty much handled Saturday's system very well. Rains were not that heavy and by 2pm, the sun was out here at the Weather Office.

Today, was a beautiful day as we topped out at 60 degrees here at the weather office. The GFS MOS shows the following for Mon - Wed in regards to high temps:

MON 12 TUE 13 WED 14
31 64 45 68 53 67

Here are my forecasted highs:

Mon - 67
Tues - 72
Wed - 63

Then, I expect us to go down hill. I expect some showers to hit the area Wed. and Thurs. The system does not look all that impressive in regards to heavy rainfall. I think, right now, anywhere from .25" to .50" of rainfall is possible during the 2 day period. No severe T-storms are expected although on Wed. a t-storm or two can not be ruled out.

After that storm moves away, highs will drop into the lower and middle 40s for Fri and Sat. but we'll have dry skies. By Sun. we'll see temps in the upper 40s to near 50, again under dry skies.

Long Term Outlook:

I think after March 19th or 20th, I see a stormier weather pattern moving in with a storm system affecting the area every 2 days or so. Temp. wise, probably averaging near normal through out the last 10 days of March. I'll have more to come on the long term outlook for the rest of March next week, but for now, the last 10 days look stormy.


EDIT:

Well, thanks again to the GFS MOS, my temp. forecast has busted yet again! As of 12 noon, CVG was only up to 50 degrees. Due to all of the cloud cover today, I doubt we will come close to 60. Tomorrow though, I'm still going with my earlier high of 72, maybe 73-74, as I think we'll see sunny skies tomorrow.

EDIT #2:

Well, well, well... my forecast for today did NOT bust after all! The afternoon sunshine saved my forecast! CVG got up to 66, and I forecasted 67 =) Tomorrow, I am still going with 72.