A Nice Friday - Followed by a Rainy Weekend

3/29/07 6:40pm

It turned out to be a beautiful day today! The high officially at CVG was 70 today! Wow, the models blew that one by 5 degrees or more! Just as how clouds can blow a temp. forecast, so can the sun! A few hours of afternoon sun pushed our temps from 60 around noon to 70 around 5pm. Amazing!

I expect one more beautiful day tomorrow too! Normal high for this time of year is now up to 60! The GFS Mos data says 69. I think that it's too cool and I believe that we'll get into the lower 70s tomorrow. I am going with 71 or 72 degrees respectively for tomorrow's high.

The 12Z GFS Run from this afternoon, has now sped up the weekend system for Sat. morning now. Sat. is looking llike an all day type of rain at this point, all out ahead of a cold front, which will slowly clear the area by Sun. I think Sat. night the dry slot moves in and we should be dry. But, by Sun. the cold front is closing in, and another shot at showers and some isolated T-storms are possible. The action should clear out by Sun. evening. Highs for this weekend, look to be a shade too warm as indicated by the GFS. It shows 68 and 69 a piece. I'm going with 66 for Sat. under all the clouds and rain and 67 for Sun. If we get any sun though then we'll crack 70. We'll see.

Opening Day Outlook:

For those of you attending the Reds Opening Day on Monday, April 2nd, we should see wall-to-wall sunshine, and a nice Southerly breeze, especially in the afternoon. Highs should make it into the lower 70s under sunny skies! The GFS is going with a whopping 74! I actually agree! I was thinking 68 yesterday, then 72 this morning. But as the GFS continues to trend warmer for Mon, so is my forecast.

Our next weather maker moves in for Tues. and Wed. bringing with it a chance of showers and storms. Highs will be in the lower 70s on Tues, dropping into the 60s by Wed . The mild pattern breaks down beginning on Thurs. of next week. Highs then are forecasted to be 52 by the GFS, and I'll agree with that, at this time.

Long Term Outlook: Apr 6th - 14th

There's not too much change in the extended outlook from what I wrote about in my last blog entry. The chilly weather pattern and also stormy weather pattern looks to continue. I think the entire month will avg. out to be below normal in temps. and above normal in rainfall. The Pacific Ocean is lined up with a parade of storms out there.

At the same time, if a blocking high develops over SE Canada and Greenland, which the models are beginning to hoan in on, then we can expect very cold air during the extended outlook period. If we see that blocking develop, then a cold high out of Canada will drop down, and possibly produce record cold for some areas, like the Great Lakes and New England. We'll have to wait and see as the GFS does have a cold bias. But, at any rate, look for periodic heavy rain makers, not much, if any, severe weather, and chilly days with highs in the 40s and 50s looking like a decent bet at this point with morning lows in the 30s POSSIBLY dipping into the 20s as well.

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